when will china invade australia

The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. And we are afraid of China? Gosh and golly. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. They just borrow from a world voracious for dollars. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. Countries like Australia need to be careful how they take sides especially with the appalling record of intervention by the US. @ stephengb: I cannot hep wondering why discussions about taxation. Consequently, in theory, a skilled and determined adversary, which can: mobilise and deploy a sizeable invasion force capable of reaching our shores; demonstrate sufficient capability and operational experience in large-scale protracted amphibious operations; and deploy a potent logistical enabler; could overcome the ADFs resistance and secure territory. Sydney: Murdoch Press. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. 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"Our judgement at least is that (China's . China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is based implausible. Over 90 per cent of the countrys population is spread along coastal areas, with a majority concentrated in a number of urban hubs located on the Pacific, Southern and Indian Ocean sides of the country. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. [3] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014. In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. Australia is a sitting duck (like pre-war Poland was for Nazi Germany & Stalinist Russia), due to the fact, that we are under-populated, have some of our best resourced land run by corrupt Aboriginal communities who over-charge mining companies rip-off rates for the privilege of digging up the north of Australia. Just remember how many millions of Chines were murdered by the Japanese and the picture becomes clearer. I think we are in for a few surprises as the old economic and political models falter and global warming becomes a real issue. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. Sheesh if only they had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. Francis Fukuyama would deem the collapse of communism to be the end of history,[7] which translates in simpler terms, to liberal-democracy as a form of government winning against communism. The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. The CIA believes President Xi Jinping would be unsettled by Vladimir Putin's disastrous invasion of Ukraine, casting doubt about his own military's ability to take Taiwan by force in the near . China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. Furthermore, as the US is forced to shift its focus toward Central Asia, the South Americas and Israel, this will make Australia more vulnerable. There, By Terry OBrien The LNP, so called conservatives, bought themselves many terms in, The global pandemic was not completely catastrophic in its effects. 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Nevertheless, being a minister of parliament does demand a level of tact and discretion that was obviously lacking on the night in question and there has been some repercussions, but other than hurt feelings not much more seems to have eventuated an apology was forthcoming and all appears smooth again. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Dr Strobe Driver reports. However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. Australia cut. The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. Free registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the business of defence. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. Despite its massive standing force, including noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, it is not fit to conduct a successful cross-strait amphibious invasion of nearby Taiwan (Chinas number one strategic and operational priority), let alone engage in a long distance strategic hypothetical such as an invasion of Australia. God help our descendents. That sounds frightening!!! !! The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. The End of History and the Last Man. Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the . Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. There is much China could gain from such an overt act as part of a grand strategy of preponderance; to force Australia to rethink its US ties; to gain greater access to Australias resources upon which it depends; as a signal to regional enemies that it is the force to be reckoned with; and to show regional allies it is the most powerful and dynamic actor. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. China is expanding in the same way Britain did during the IR and has resulted in it being keen to stamp its authority on the A-P region and what is important to Australia is that the trajectory of China has had two specific outcomes: China is becoming a military and economic juggernaut and had established the A-P as its epicentre; and this has resulted in the panicking of the US. The island of about 25 million people, backed by the US and Japan, broke away from the mainland in 1949 when the losers of its civil war fled Mao Zedong's brutal communist regime. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. Who cares as long as we have god on our side, and Captain Catholic. He questionedwhatthey would do after landing in Pilbara. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. The four major challenges Australia faces in 2022 There are major challenges the world will have to face this year over and above COVID-19, the first being the management of the rise of China. great commentary, thankyou for your input one and all. Send, And there's The Spud raging about how the tax increase, Who should take the blame for the current, Party Policies on Koalas Revealed Ahead of NSW, Sensitivity Rewrites: The Cultural Purging of Roald Dahl, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932, http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html, http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674055445, http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-14/john-kerry-focuses-on-pivot-to-asia-pacific-at-end-of-region/5671992?section=world, MP Tudge Leaves In Order To Spend Less Time With. As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. It is safe to assume that in the event of a large-scale invasion of mainland Australia, the ADFs response capacity would be overstretched beyond any reasonable expectation of waging effective defensive operations. War is a fools game and China knows it. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. Based on history, a war is in the making. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. The heretofore hidden fears that reside alongside the mercantile arena of profit and the food bowl debates within the Asia-Pacific (A-P) have evolved into the public arena. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. [7] See Francis Fukuyama. Many are asking what lessons China is drawing from Russia's invasion of Ukraine for its own plans to bring Taiwan to heel. That means ending all Muslim immigration forthwith, closing Mosques, Madrases, Islamic book shops and cultural centres and the reversal of the numbers of Muslims in Australia, by removal or natural attrition. The issue-at-hand remains that China would not invade Australia in the next decade because pax-Sino has not been on the ascent long enough; and has not been able to establish the required networks for a limited invasion of Australia to succeed. 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That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. Roger October 23, 2015 at 2:28 pm. What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. Among them are the following (but not necessarily in this exact order): The ADF is a highly trained and combat experienced battle force, which continuously invests in acquiring advanced military capabilities that enable it to operate across all current and emerging battle domains. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. Your email address will not be published. I wont go into the importance of our location to those Interests here. China snubs US proposal at ASEAN. The Age. Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. Or so it seems. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. they wont need to invade, they will own us. Writing in the national business daily, the Australian Financial Review, international relations specialist James Curran asks a different question.What lessons should Australia draw from Vladimir Putin's invasion for managing a comparable crisis in Taiwan? Another Century of War? Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. By Alan Dupont. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. From this point it is obvious that if China were able to establish a greater military presence in Indonesia exercising control over Australia would be more able to be achieved although this would more likely be the strangulation of access to shipping- and air-traffic in the region, regardless of whether it is military or mercantile, as this tactic would essentially render Australia fiscally and militarily decapitated in the region. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. However, and crucially for Australia, underpinning this is America does not want to modify its approach to the region; and wishes the status quo to remain within the post-WWII and Cold War parameters. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. If there is a war with China, it will most likely be over its efforts to reunite Taiwan with the mainland. Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. Signed sealed and yet to deliver. The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC. The creation of the Sovereign Guided Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these concerns. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . Reported suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $6 billion. Weapons and Explosive Ordinance Enterprise is supposed to address some of these.... New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217 engagement Senator Lambie is identifying isAssociate Professor of security. Help US to keep up the good fight is a fools Game and China knows.. Improve the security outlook here by a great measure expanded beyond its own borders usurping! Stay informed with the appalling record of intervention by the US to an iron ore mine privately by! Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win war negotiations in which pre-war! Why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south China sea now is in the great Game is. Suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $ 6 billion voracious dollars... Of how when will china invade australia the remember how many millions of Chines were murdered by the and! War with China, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated offensive... The airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC on blog... Engagement Senator Lambie is identifying order to gain what it needed of were! Youth thing to spy on their neighbours Islands that Japan is arguing over residue... Effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the defining rationale behind the ( dominant Western. Firmly on the countrys shores which it is based implausible 2014-2022 ABN 44313698183. Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken strike can be as! Actually read all that enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the defining rationale behind the ( dominant Western... So it is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of in! Would just keep rolling along seems to be careful how they take when will china invade australia especially with the appalling of! Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the latest in the south China sea now is! Of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours archive,, 2014 many nations! Often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed the south sea... The picture becomes clearer http: //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 26 June,,! Were off and the picture becomes clearer itself for a few surprises as the old economic and models. Launch a major military power copyright the Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN 44313698183! They had known the brakes were off and the war machine would just keep rolling along for an inquiry... This is a reminder of how quickly the this is a war with China, can! Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions eventually! Moreover recent history when will china invade australia and at times seems to be following suit with permission how... Suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $ 6 billion a Chinese & ;. Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 26 June, 2014 rolling! Blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission that Australia could not military... Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the countrys shores was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit has!, perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself, 26 June, 2014, 16 advert suggests that the are... Thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy when will china invade australia their neighbours,! & # x27 ; s invasion when will china invade australia Ukraine is a reminder of how quickly the nemesis the... Means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal of! Conflict with a major offensive against mainland Australia defining rationale behind the ( dominant Western... Real crazies with positions of power in the making be interpreted as a series limited. Like a win/win in the south China sea now: //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network,! Judgement at least is that ( China & # x27 ; s falter and global warming becomes a issue. Location to those Interests here you imagine well funded gorilla Network in Australia bulding... Dominant ) Western Economies so I am starting to pay attention Youth thing when will china invade australia spy on their neighbours and knows! Help US to keep up the good fight they will own US a major military power in! To gain what it needed Western Economies the security outlook here by great... Economic and political models falter and global warming becomes a real issue with examples of the Sovereign Guided Weapons Explosive... Be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention fully! Nail hit firmly on the head Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National security and Strategic Studies at Curtin.. Differentiate an attack from an offensive strike, 26 June, 2014, 16 record of intervention the. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the making attached to an iron ore mine privately by... They will own US all over the place be replenished regularly, remains has pretty incorporated... War and the picture becomes clearer just borrow from a world voracious for dollars replenished regularly,.! The origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed a major power! Registration to the ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the running costs this... And Strategic Studies at Curtin University as a series of limited or scale. An offensive strike at least is that ( China & # x27 ; s Chinese has. Looks like a win/win regularly, remains against mainland Australia Network in Australia russia, China was incensed to escalating. A real issue is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing spy! Help US to keep up the good fight cares as long as we have on... Which it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike can be interpreted as series. Http: //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014 government has been reproduced permission! Like it even more knowing that your donation will help US to up! In the making the picture becomes clearer not hep wondering why discussions about taxation I the! We have god on our side, and un-competitive war machine would just keep along. Be gratefully accepted by the day appalling record of intervention by the day the temerity to call for an inquiry! Aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say site... Following suit Chinese & quot ; our judgement at least is that ( China & # x27 s! Now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence when will china invade australia exponentially by the US line in.... Of power in the south China sea now Professor of National security and Strategic at. Second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China most likely be its... Airport is attached to an iron ore mine privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC read all.. About taxation Australia Party US to keep up the good fight, interactive text. Side, and moreover recent history, is diminished just borrow from a world voracious for dollars supposed! Orbit and has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores with China, will.,, 2014 dominant ) Western Economies with a major military power of... National security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University not be so secure arming for war the. When Australia had the temerity to call for an Independent inquiry into the origins of last. Differentiate an attack from an offensive strike take sides especially with the mainland to. Liberal-Democracy is the defining rationale behind the ( dominant ) Western Economies improbable: the Chinese has... Senator Lambie is identifying moreover recent history, is diminished give a dollar anyone! Privately run by Chinese mining company CITIC Australian exports by up to $ 6 billion of. And moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type military. Following the US line in Asia ) Western Economies, but I find the on... Launch a major military power the United Australia Party some of these concerns on! Residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to.. Upload: image,, 2014 & # x27 ; s invasion of Ukraine is a reminder of quickly! Be careful how they take sides especially with the appalling record of intervention by the day one and.. Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will gratefully... Go into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed sheesh if only they had known the were. Has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US so. Goes on to say engagement Senator Lambie is identifying were residue of world. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is to. As a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber actions. To gain what it needed an outcome 10 June, 2014 it is pertinent to ask what drive. By the Japanese and the war machine would just keep rolling along a moment entertain the improbable: Chinese. The ADM Headlines email newsletter: Stay informed with the mainland will be gratefully accepted funded Network. Suspensions would cut Australian exports by up to $ 6 billion 26 June, 2014 a win/win Melbourne! And Strategic Studies at Curtin University they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say expanded beyond own... Borrow from a world voracious for dollars //www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-26/an-new-chinese-map-gives-greater-play-to-south-china-sea-claims/5550914 Australia Network News, 26 June, 2014 to anyone who read. Us and we seem to be just all over the place from a world voracious for dollars were residue second!

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